Matchup View
Oregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Oregon -1011-book consensus · observed Oct 24, 2:12 PM EDTIllinois has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Illinois; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Illinois enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois lost the most recent meeting with Oregon.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois lost the most recent meeting with Oregon by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 0h 47m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Oregon -13.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Oregon -12Earliest observed 2-book consensusIllinois has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Illinois; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
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Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · Oregon -10
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