Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Maryland enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUCLA at Maryland
Week 4 · Sep 26SECU Stadium · College Park, MD
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
UCLA -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UCLA -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusUCLA -2.510-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 1:15 PM EDT
UCLA -2.510-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 1:15 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward MarylandExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Home-underdog value Inconclusive
Maryland is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Maryland lost the most recent meeting with UCLA.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
UCLA has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
UCLA has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
UCLA is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
UCLA begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
UCLA faces materially stronger Oregon in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?UCLA 54 · Maryland 3
- Pregame OV Line
- UCLA -5
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- UCLA -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- UCLA by 51
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineUCLA -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UCLA -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusUCLA -2Earliest observed 10-book consensus
UCLA -2Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
UCLA 65.7%Maryland 34.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · UCLA -2.5
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