Lay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Washington is favored by 26.5 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUtah State at Washington
Week 2 · Sep 12Husky Stadium · Seattle, WA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Washington -22Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Washington -22Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusWashington -26.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Washington -26.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward WashingtonExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Washington begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Washington ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Utah State is a 26.5-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Utah State 14 · Washington 16
- Pregame OV Line
- Washington -22
- Final recorded market
- Washington -26.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Washington by 2
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineWashington -22Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Washington -22Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusWashington -25.5Based on 2 books
Washington -25.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Utah State 4.3%Washington 95.7%
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Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Washington -26.5
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