Home-underdog value Inconclusive
Temple is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPenn State at Temple
Week 2 · Sep 12Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Penn State -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Penn State -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusPenn State -24.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Penn State -24.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Penn StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Take the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Temple is a 24.2-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Penn State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 795 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Penn State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 795 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Penn State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Penn State is favored by 24.2 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Penn State begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Penn State 27 · Temple 9
- Pregame OV Line
- Penn State -22.5
- Final recorded market
- Penn State -24.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Penn State by 18
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LinePenn State -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Penn State -22.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusPenn State -22.5Based on 2 books
Penn State -22.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Penn State 96.0%Temple 4.0%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Penn State -24.5
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