Louisville at North Carolina

Week 11 · Nov 14Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC

Matchup View

Opening LineLouisville -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Louisville 63.7%North Carolina 36.3%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

Your winner pick refines your personal ratings. Game location is accounted for; your spread pick records where you differ from the market.

Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Nov 14.

Compare Teams

LouisvilleVSNorth Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating+13.2 · #29+6.1 · #45
Offense Rating+4.9+1.3
Defense Rating+8.3+4.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.150.06
Offense Success Rate45.1%38.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.060.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed36.4%41.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.24.6
Playoff Odds5.3%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank49th32nd