Louisville at North Carolina

Week 11 · Nov 14Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC

Matchup View

Opening LineLouisville -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Louisville 71.8%North Carolina 28.2%

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Compare Teams

LouisvilleVSNorth Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating+11.5 · #28+1.6 · #61
Offense Rating+4.1-0.9
Defense Rating+7.4+2.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.150.06
Offense Success Rate45.1%38.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.060.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed36.4%41.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.24.6
Playoff Odds14.4%0.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank52nd31st