Louisville at NC State

Week 5 · Oct 3Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC

Matchup View

Opening LineLouisville -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Louisville 65.3%NC State 34.7%

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Compare Teams

LouisvilleVSNC State

Model View

Overall Rating+11.5 · #28+3.9 · #51
Offense Rating+4.1+4.1
Defense Rating+7.4-0.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.150.24
Offense Success Rate45.1%42.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.060.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed36.4%39.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.27.3
Playoff Odds14.4%2.0%
Strength of Schedule Rank52nd67th