Missouri State at SMU
Week 4 · Sep 26Gerald J. Ford Stadium · University Park, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
SMU -32.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
SMU -32.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusSMU -30.511-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 8:45 PM EDT
SMU -30.511-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 8:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Missouri StateExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Missouri State 24 · SMU 34
- Pregame OV Line
- SMU -32.5
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- SMU -30.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- SMU by 10
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineSMU -32.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
SMU -32.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusSMU -34.5Earliest observed 9-book consensus
SMU -34.5Earliest observed 9-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Missouri State 0.6%SMU 99.4%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · SMU -30.5
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