Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOklahoma State at Kansas State
Week 10 · Nov 7Bill Snyder Family Stadium · Manhattan, KS
Matchup View
Opening Line
Oklahoma State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oklahoma State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusOklahoma State -3.58-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Oklahoma State -3.58-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward Kansas StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Kansas State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Kansas State is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Oklahoma State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Oklahoma State is favored in a game with a consensus total of 62.2.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Oklahoma State begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Oklahoma State lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State faces materially stronger Texas Tech in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineOklahoma State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oklahoma State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOklahoma State -3.5Earliest observed 8-book consensus
Oklahoma State -3.5Earliest observed 8-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Oklahoma State 65.5%Kansas State 34.5%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Oklahoma State -3.5
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