Kansas State at Cincinnati

Week 4 · Sep 26Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineKansas State -9Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusKansas State -610-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward CincinnatiExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Kansas State 26 · Cincinnati 31
Pregame OV Line
Kansas State -9
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Kansas State -6
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Cincinnati by 5

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Kansas State 76.0%Cincinnati 24.0%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Kansas StateVSCincinnati

Model View

Overall Rating+4.2 · #54+4.5 · #53
Offense Rating+3.0+4.1
Defense Rating+1.2+0.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.210.30
Offense Success Rate40.6%46.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.120.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed39.4%43.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.25.1
Playoff Odds<0.01%0.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank57th45th