Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate
BYU begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyArizona at BYU
Week 2 · Sep 12LaVell Edwards Stadium · Provo, UT
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
BYU -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
BYU -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusBYU -7.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
BYU -7.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward ArizonaExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
BYU ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Arizona begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Arizona ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDefense travels Contradictory evidence
Arizona is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 445 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Arizona lost the most recent meeting with BYU.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Arizona 17 · BYU 28
- Pregame OV Line
- BYU -8
- Final recorded market
- BYU -7.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- BYU by 11
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineBYU -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
BYU -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusBYU -7Based on 2 books
BYU -7Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Arizona 26.7%BYU 73.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · BYU -7.5
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