Kansas has extra rest
~1 pt toward KansasKansas has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Kansas; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyMiddle Tennessee at Kansas
Week 5 · Oct 3Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Kansas -21.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas -21.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusKansas -20.510-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDT
Kansas -20.510-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineKansas -21.5→Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward Kansas→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineKansas -22.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineKansas -21.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1 pt toward KansasOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Kansas -22.5Opening Market ConsensusKansas -19Unexplained at open~3.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Kansas -22.5Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusKansas -20.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gaps Kansas has extra rest~1 pt toward Kansas
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Kansas is favored by 18.2 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Kansas faces materially stronger Utah in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Kansas is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Utah.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee is a 18.2-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Middle Tennessee 0 · Kansas 55
- Pregame OV Line
- Kansas -21.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Kansas -20.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- Kansas -22.5
- Actual margin
- Kansas by 55
Observed 3h 32m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKansas -21.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas -21.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKansas -19Earliest observed 10-book consensus
Kansas -19Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineKansas -21.5→Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward Kansas→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineKansas -22.5Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeOnVarsity Opening LineKansas -21.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1 pt toward KansasOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Kansas -22.5Opening Market ConsensusKansas -19Unexplained gap~3.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeKansas has extra rest~1 pt toward Kansas
Kansas has extra rest
~1 pt toward KansasKansas has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Kansas; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyPregame Win Probability
Middle Tennessee 4.4%Kansas 95.6%
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Market consensus · Kansas -20.5
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