Delaware at Vanderbilt

Week 2 · Sep 12FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineVanderbilt -23Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusVanderbilt -212-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward DelawareExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Lay it with a big favorite Developing estimate

Vanderbilt is favored by 20.8 points in the current market consensus.

Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

Vanderbilt begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate

Vanderbilt ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.

Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Look-ahead game Contradictory evidence

Vanderbilt faces materially stronger NC State in its next scheduled game.

Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Trap game Inconclusive

Vanderbilt is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger NC State.

Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Take the big underdog Contradictory evidence

Delaware is a 20.8-point underdog in the current market consensus.

Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Completed gameWhat happened?Delaware 26 · Vanderbilt 35
Pregame OV Line
Vanderbilt -23
Final recorded market
Vanderbilt -21
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Vanderbilt by 9

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Delaware 3.6%Vanderbilt 96.4%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

DelawareVSVanderbilt

Model View

Overall Rating-10.7 · #108+7.0 · #42
Offense Rating-3.2+7.6
Defense Rating-7.5-0.6

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.190.41
Offense Success Rate43.3%50.3%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.210.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.3%41.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.25.8
Playoff Odds0.1%1.2%
Strength of Schedule Rank115th16th