Home-underdog value Inconclusive
Kansas is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMissouri at Kansas
Week 2 · Sep 11Memorial Stadium · Lawrence, KS
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Missouri -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Missouri -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusMissouri -5.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Missouri -5.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Revenge game Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with Missouri.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Missouri is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Missouri begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Missouri ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDefense travels Contradictory evidence
Missouri is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 445 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Missouri 38 · Kansas 21
- Pregame OV Line
- Missouri -5.5
- Final recorded market
- Missouri -5.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Missouri by 17
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMissouri -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Missouri -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMissouri -7Based on 2 books
Missouri -7Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Missouri 66.0%Kansas 34.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Missouri -5.5
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