Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWestern Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
Week 10 · Nov 7Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN
Matchup View
Opening Line
Western Kentucky -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Western Kentucky -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusWestern Kentucky -111-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Western Kentucky -111-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee enters after losing its previous lined game by 16 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Western Kentucky.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Western Kentucky by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee faces materially stronger Liberty in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Western Kentucky enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Western Kentucky enters after losing its previous lined game by 14 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Western Kentucky was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Western Kentucky is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineWestern Kentucky -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Western Kentucky -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusWestern Kentucky -1Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Western Kentucky -1Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Western Kentucky 54.0%Middle Tennessee 46.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Western Kentucky -1
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Nov 7.