Marshall at Georgia Southern

Week 10 · Nov 7Allen E. Paulson Stadium · Statesboro, GA

Matchup View

Opening LineGeorgia Southern -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Current Market ConsensusGeorgia Southern -1011-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward Georgia SouthernExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Hot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

Georgia Southern has covered at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Marshall lost the most recent meeting with Georgia Southern.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
Marshall 29.1%Georgia Southern 70.9%

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Compare Teams

MarshallVSGeorgia Southern

Model View

Overall Rating-11.7 · #108-7.1 · #94
Offense Rating-4.6-1.8
Defense Rating-7.1-5.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.160.20
Offense Success Rate43.9%44.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.160.27
Defense Success Rate Allowed38.6%48.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.45.0
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank118th89th