Old Dominion at Coastal Carolina

Week 10 · Nov 7Brooks Stadium (SC) · Conway, SC

Matchup View

Opening LineCoastal Carolina -6.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
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Current Market ConsensusCoastal Carolina -711-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Coastal CarolinaExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Letdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence

Coastal Carolina was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.

Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Coastal Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Old Dominion.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge after humiliation Developing estimate

Coastal Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Old Dominion by at least 14 points.

Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion enters after a loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.

Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Must-win after three losses Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.

Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Cold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

Old Dominion has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate

Old Dominion ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.

Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Defense travels Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.

Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
Old Dominion 30.9%Coastal Carolina 69.1%

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Compare Teams

Old DominionVSCoastal Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating-16.0 · #122-12.1 · #112
Offense Rating-9.6-7.2
Defense Rating-6.4-4.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.240.06
Offense Success Rate45.4%36.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.020.20
Defense Success Rate Allowed37.8%44.2%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.64.8
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank96th98th