Long Island University at Florida International

Week 4 · Sep 26Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL
Long Island UniversityFCS
@
Florida International3–5-13.8 vs. avg · #116

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineFlorida International -24.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusFlorida International -37.57-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 5:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineFlorida International -24.5Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Long Island UniversityOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineFlorida International -22.5Unexplained Gap~15 pts toward Florida InternationalExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineFlorida International -24.5Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward Long Island UniversityOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Florida International -22.5Opening Market ConsensusFlorida International -34.5Unexplained at open~12 pts toward Florida InternationalSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Florida International -22.5Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusFlorida International -37.5Unexplained gap~15 pts toward Florida InternationalExplore similar gaps Long Island University has extra rest~2 pts toward Long Island University

Long Island University has extra rest

~2 pts toward Long Island University

Long Island University has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Long Island University; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Long Island University 3 · Florida International 20
Pregame OV Line
Florida International -24.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Florida International -37.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Florida International -22.5
Actual margin
Florida International by 17

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Long Island University 6.1%Florida International 93.9%

Compare Teams

Long Island UniversityVSFlorida International

Model View

Overall Rating—-13.8 · #116
Offense Rating—-7.1
Defense Rating—-6.7

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.16
Offense Success Rate—40.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed—41.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—6.2
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—133rd