Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan

Week 10 · Nov 4Neutral Site · Ford Field · Detroit, MI

Matchup View

Opening LineCentral Michigan -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -1.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward Eastern MichiganExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence

Eastern Michigan enters after a loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence

Eastern Michigan enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.

Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence

Eastern Michigan enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Favorite off a loss Contradictory evidence

Eastern Michigan is favored after losing its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Eastern Michigan lost the most recent meeting with Central Michigan.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence

Central Michigan enters after a loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Must-win after two losses Contradictory evidence

Central Michigan enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.

Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Must-win after three losses Contradictory evidence

Central Michigan enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.

Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence

Central Michigan enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Rivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate

Central Michigan is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.

Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
Central Michigan 55.1%Eastern Michigan 44.9%

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Compare Teams

Central MichiganVSEastern Michigan

Model View

Overall Rating-15.3 · #121-17.0 · #123
Offense Rating-8.8-5.8
Defense Rating-6.5-11.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.140.20
Offense Success Rate40.6%42.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.080.25
Defense Success Rate Allowed40.3%44.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.36.1
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank120th129th