Colgate at Central Michigan

Week 2 · Sep 12Kelly/Shorts Stadium · Mount Pleasant, MI

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineCentral Michigan -21.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusCentral Michigan -18.510-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 12:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward ColgateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Colgate 10 · Central Michigan 13
Pregame OV Line
Central Michigan -21.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Central Michigan -18.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Central Michigan by 3

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Colgate 10.4%Central Michigan 89.6%

Compare Teams

ColgateVSCentral Michigan

Model View

Overall Rating—-15.3 · #121
Offense Rating—-8.8
Defense Rating—-6.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.14
Offense Success Rate—40.6%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.08
Defense Success Rate Allowed—40.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—6.3
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—120th