Stony Brook at Ball State

Week 2 · Sep 12Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineBall State -12.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusBall State -13.58-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 1:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Ball StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Stony Brook 17 · Ball State 41
Pregame OV Line
Ball State -12.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Ball State -13.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Ball State by 24

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Stony Brook 35.6%Ball State 64.4%

Compare Teams

Stony BrookVSBall State

Model View

Overall Rating—-20.5 · #130
Offense Rating—-12.7
Defense Rating—-7.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—-0.00
Offense Success Rate—32.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.18
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—3.6
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—104th