OnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Current Market ConsensusUNLV -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Wyoming→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUNLV -8.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward WyomingExplore similar gaps →OnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward WyomingOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UNLV -8.5Opening Market ConsensusUNLV -6.5Unexplained at open~2 pts toward WyomingSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)UNLV -8.5Current Market ConsensusUNLV -6.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward WyomingExplore similar gaps →Wyoming has extra rest~2 pts toward Wyoming
Wyoming has extra rest
~2 pts toward Wyoming
Wyoming has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Wyoming; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
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Close-win regression Developing estimate
UNLV enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
OnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Why the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Wyoming→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUNLV -8.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward WyomingOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10.5Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward WyomingOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UNLV -8.5Opening Market ConsensusUNLV -6.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward WyomingWyoming has extra rest~2 pts toward Wyoming
Wyoming has extra rest
~2 pts toward Wyoming
Wyoming has 7.0 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Wyoming; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.