UNLV has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward UNLVUNLV has 6.8 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward UNLV; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyUNLV at Akron
Week 4 · Sep 26InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
UNLV -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UNLV -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusUNLV -13.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 11:45 AM EDT
UNLV -13.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 11:45 AM EDTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward UNLV→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUNLV -11.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward UNLVExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward UNLVOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UNLV -11.5Opening Market ConsensusUNLV -13.5Unexplained at open~2 pts toward UNLVSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)UNLV -11.5Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusUNLV -13.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward UNLVExplore similar gaps UNLV has extra rest~1.5 pts toward UNLV
Completed gameWhat happened?UNLV 38 · Akron 10
- Pregame OV Line
- UNLV -10
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- UNLV -13.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- UNLV -11.5
- Actual margin
- UNLV by 28
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineUNLV -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UNLV -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusUNLV -13.5Earliest observed 10-book consensus
UNLV -13.5Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward UNLV→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUNLV -11.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward UNLVOnVarsity Opening LineUNLV -10Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward UNLVOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)UNLV -11.5Opening Market ConsensusUNLV -13.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward UNLVUNLV has extra rest~1.5 pts toward UNLV
UNLV has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward UNLVUNLV has 6.8 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward UNLV; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyPregame Win Probability
UNLV 78.5%Akron 21.5%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · UNLV -13.5
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