Cal Poly at San José State

Week 2 · Sep 12CEFCU Stadium · San Jose, CA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineSan José State -15Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusSan José State -21.510-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 8:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~6.5 pts toward San José StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Cal Poly 20 · San José State 30
Pregame OV Line
San José State -15
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
San José State -21.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
San José State by 10

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Cal Poly 27.0%San José State 73.0%

Compare Teams

Cal PolyVSSan José State

Model View

Overall Rating—-12.4 · #114
Offense Rating—-5.9
Defense Rating—-6.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.17
Offense Success Rate—43.2%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.20
Defense Success Rate Allowed—42.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—4.5
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—92nd