Tulsa has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward TulsaTulsa has 6.2 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.6 points toward Tulsa; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyTulsa at Tulane
Week 10 · Nov 7Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA
Matchup View
Opening Line
Tulane -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulane -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market Consensus
Tulsa -1.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Tulsa -1.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineTulane -0.5→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Tulsa→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineTulsa -1Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward TulsaExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineTulane -0.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward TulsaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Tulsa -1Opening Market ConsensusTulsa -1.5Unexplained at open~0.5 pts toward TulsaSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Tulsa -1Current Market ConsensusTulsa -1.5Unexplained gap~0.5 pts toward TulsaExplore similar gaps Tulsa has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Tulsa
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Close-win regression Developing estimate
Tulane enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Tulane is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Tulane is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Tulsa enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Tulsa enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Tulsa is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Tulsa is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Tulsa lost the most recent meeting with Tulane.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Tulsa lost the most recent meeting with Tulane by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineTulane -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulane -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTulsa -1.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Tulsa -1.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineTulane -0.5→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Tulsa→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineTulsa -1Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward TulsaOnVarsity Opening LineTulane -0.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward TulsaOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Tulsa -1Opening Market ConsensusTulsa -1.5Unexplained gap~0.5 pts toward TulsaTulsa has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Tulsa
Tulsa has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward TulsaTulsa has 6.2 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.6 points toward Tulsa; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyCurrent Win Probability
Tulsa 48.3%Tulane 51.7%
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Market consensus · Tulsa -1.5
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