South Florida at Bowling Green

Week 4 · Sep 26Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineSouth Florida -15Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusSouth Florida -17.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 4:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward South FloridaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?South Florida 14 · Bowling Green 6
Pregame OV Line
South Florida -15
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
South Florida -17.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
South Florida by 8

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
South Florida 87.8%Bowling Green 12.2%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

Your winner pick refines your personal ratings. Game location is accounted for; your spread pick records where you differ from the market.

Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Sep 26.

Compare Teams

South FloridaVSBowling Green

Model View

Overall Rating-4.1 · #82-18.1 · #127
Offense Rating-1.4-11.9
Defense Rating-2.7-6.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.300.03
Offense Success Rate46.7%35.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.080.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed37.9%40.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.25.0
Playoff Odds0.1%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank112th124th