Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
UAB enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyUL Monroe at UAB
Week 2 · Sep 12Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
UAB -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UAB -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusUAB -102-book consensus · updated Sep 9
UAB -102-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward UABExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
UAB enters after losing its previous lined game by 19 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
UAB is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 535 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
UAB lost the most recent meeting with UL Monroe.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
UAB lost the most recent meeting with UL Monroe by at least 14 points.
Studied in 592 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
UL Monroe enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
UL Monroe enters after losing its previous lined game by 49 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?UL Monroe 20 · UAB 26
- Pregame OV Line
- UAB -7
- Final recorded market
- UAB -10
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- UAB by 6
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineUAB -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
UAB -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusUAB -9Based on 2 books
UAB -9Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
UL Monroe 29.5%UAB 70.5%
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Market consensus · UAB -10
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