Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTulsa at Sam Houston
Week 2 · Sep 12Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Tulsa -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulsa -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusTulsa -142-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Tulsa -142-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward TulsaExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 585 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Sam Houston is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
Tulsa was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 389 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Tulsa is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Tulsa 23 · Sam Houston 17
- Pregame OV Line
- Tulsa -12
- Final recorded market
- Tulsa -14
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Tulsa by 6
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineTulsa -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulsa -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTulsa -12Based on 2 books
Tulsa -12Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Tulsa 82.6%Sam Houston 17.4%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Tulsa -14
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