UConn at Miami (OH)

Week 4 · Sep 26Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineMiami (OH) -3.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusMiami (OH) -2.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 3:15 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward UConnExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?UConn 21 · Miami (OH) 24
Pregame OV Line
Miami (OH) -3.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Miami (OH) -2.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Miami (OH) by 3

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
UConn 39.3%Miami (OH) 60.7%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

UConnVSMiami (OH)

Model View

Overall Rating-6.9 · #92-11.6 · #107
Offense Rating-2.2-8.2
Defense Rating-4.8-3.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.310.10
Offense Success Rate45.9%39.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.210.09
Defense Success Rate Allowed46.2%39.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.37.3
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank101st128th