San Diego State at Toledo
Week 4 · Sep 26Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
San Diego State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
San Diego State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Toledo -2.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 11:45 AM EDT
Toledo -2.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 11:45 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~7.5 pts toward ToledoExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?San Diego State 16 · Toledo 41
- Pregame OV Line
- San Diego State -5
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Toledo -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Toledo by 25
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineSan Diego State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
San Diego State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusToledo -3Earliest observed 10-book consensus
Toledo -3Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
San Diego State 65.9%Toledo 34.1%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Toledo -2.5
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