Incarnate Word at Texas State
Week 4 · Sep 26Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Texas State -24Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Texas State -24Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusTexas State -30.57-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 5:45 PM EDT
Texas State -30.57-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 5:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~6.5 pts toward Texas StateExplore similar gapsCompleted gameWhat happened?Incarnate Word 10 · Texas State 63
- Pregame OV Line
- Texas State -24
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Texas State -30.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Texas State by 53
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineTexas State -24Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Texas State -24Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTexas State -30.5Earliest observed 5-book consensus
Texas State -30.5Earliest observed 5-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Incarnate Word 6.8%Texas State 93.2%