Howard has extra rest
~2 pts toward HowardHoward has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Howard; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyHoward at Rutgers
Week 4 · Sep 25SHI Stadium · Piscataway, NJ
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Rutgers -35Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Rutgers -35Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusRutgers -41.58-book consensus · observed Sep 25, 6:45 PM EDT
Rutgers -41.58-book consensus · observed Sep 25, 6:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineRutgers -35→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Howard→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineRutgers -33Unexplained Gap~8.5 pts toward RutgersExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineRutgers -35Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward HowardOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Rutgers -33Opening Market ConsensusRutgers -43.5Unexplained at open~10.5 pts toward RutgersSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Rutgers -33Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusRutgers -41.5Unexplained gap~8.5 pts toward RutgersExplore similar gaps Howard has extra rest~2 pts toward Howard
Completed gameWhat happened?Howard 7 · Rutgers 58
- Pregame OV Line
- Rutgers -35
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Rutgers -41.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- Rutgers -33
- Actual margin
- Rutgers by 51
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineRutgers -35Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Rutgers -35Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusRutgers -43.5Earliest observed 5-book consensus
Rutgers -43.5Earliest observed 5-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineRutgers -35→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Howard→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineRutgers -33Unexplained Gap~10.5 pts toward RutgersOnVarsity Opening LineRutgers -35Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward HowardOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Rutgers -33Opening Market ConsensusRutgers -43.5Unexplained gap~10.5 pts toward RutgersHoward has extra rest~2 pts toward Howard
Howard has extra rest
~2 pts toward HowardHoward has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Howard; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyPregame Win Probability
Howard 0.5%Rutgers 99.5%