Western Illinois at Wisconsin

Week 2 · Sep 12Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineWisconsin -40Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusWisconsin -43.59-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 7:00 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward WisconsinExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Western Illinois 9 · Wisconsin 36
Pregame OV Line
Wisconsin -40
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Wisconsin -43.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Wisconsin by 27

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Western Illinois 0.1%Wisconsin 99.9%

Compare Teams

Western IllinoisVSWisconsin

Model View

Overall Rating—+12.3 · #33
Offense Rating—+4.3
Defense Rating—+8.0

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.02
Offense Success Rate—36.6%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.17
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—6.5
Playoff Odds—4.0%
Strength of Schedule Rank—41st