Home-underdog value Inconclusive
UConn is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland at UConn
Week 2 · Sep 12Pratt & Whitney Stadium · East Hartford, CT
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Maryland -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Maryland -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusMaryland -12.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Maryland -12.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward MarylandExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
UConn ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
UConn lost the most recent meeting with Maryland.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
UConn lost the most recent meeting with Maryland by at least 14 points.
Studied in 592 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Maryland is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Maryland faces materially stronger Virginia Tech in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Maryland is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Virginia Tech.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Maryland 38 · UConn 14
- Pregame OV Line
- Maryland -11.5
- Final recorded market
- Maryland -12.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Maryland by 24
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMaryland -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Maryland -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMaryland -12.5Based on 2 books
Maryland -12.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Maryland 81.4%UConn 18.6%
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Market consensus · Maryland -12.5
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