Clemson at Syracuse

Week 10 · Nov 7JMA Wireless Dome · Syracuse, NY

Matchup View

Opening LineClemson -3Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusClemson -2.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward SyracuseExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Letdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence

Syracuse was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.

Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Close-win regression Developing estimate

Syracuse enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Hot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

Syracuse has covered at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Home-underdog value Inconclusive

Syracuse is the home underdog in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Rivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate

Syracuse is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.

Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Letdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence

Clemson was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.

Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Road-favorite strength Inconclusive

Clemson is the road favorite in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Defense travels Contradictory evidence

Clemson is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.

Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Clemson lost the most recent meeting with Syracuse.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
Clemson 58.7%Syracuse 41.3%

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Compare Teams

ClemsonVSSyracuse

Model View

Overall Rating+5.2 · #50-0.2 · #73
Offense Rating+1.7+0.0
Defense Rating+3.5-0.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.180.05
Offense Success Rate42.7%39.0%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.090.27
Defense Success Rate Allowed37.3%44.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.84.5
Playoff Odds0.4%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank46th53rd