Richmond at NC State

Week 2 · Sep 11Carter-Finley Stadium · Raleigh, NC

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineNC State -36Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNC State -30.51-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5.5 pts toward RichmondExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Richmond 0 · NC State 73
Pregame OV Line
NC State -36
Final recorded market
NC State -30.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
NC State by 73

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Richmond 0.4%NC State 99.6%

Compare Teams

RichmondVSNC State

Model View

Overall Rating+3.9 · #51
Offense Rating+4.1
Defense Rating-0.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.24
Offense Success Rate42.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed39.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.3
Playoff Odds2.0%
Strength of Schedule Rank67th