East Tennessee State at North Carolina

Week 2 · Sep 12Kenan Stadium · Chapel Hill, NC

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineNorth Carolina -28Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Completed gameWhat happened?East Tennessee State 3 · North Carolina 35
Pregame OV Line
North Carolina -28
Final recorded market
Unavailable
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
North Carolina by 32

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
East Tennessee State 3.1%North Carolina 96.9%

Compare Teams

East Tennessee StateVSNorth Carolina

Model View

Overall Rating+1.6 · #61
Offense Rating-0.9
Defense Rating+2.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.06
Offense Success Rate38.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.6
Playoff Odds0.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank31st