Villanova at Louisville

Week 2 · Sep 11L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineLouisville -28.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusLouisville -38.59-book consensus · observed Sep 11, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~10 pts toward LouisvilleExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Villanova 13 · Louisville 59
Pregame OV Line
Louisville -28.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Louisville -38.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Louisville by 46

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Villanova 2.6%Louisville 97.4%

Compare Teams

VillanovaVSLouisville

Model View

Overall Rating—+13.2 · #29
Offense Rating—+4.9
Defense Rating—+8.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.15
Offense Success Rate—45.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.06
Defense Success Rate Allowed—36.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—8.2
Playoff Odds—5.3%
Strength of Schedule Rank—49th