Villanova at Louisville

Week 2 · Sep 11L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium · Louisville, KY

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineLouisville -28.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusLouisville -36.51-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~8 pts toward LouisvilleExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Villanova 13 · Louisville 59
Pregame OV Line
Louisville -28.5
Final recorded market
Louisville -36.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Louisville by 46

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Villanova 2.6%Louisville 97.4%

Compare Teams

VillanovaVSLouisville

Model View

Overall Rating+11.5 · #28
Offense Rating+4.1
Defense Rating+7.4

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.15
Offense Success Rate45.1%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.06
Defense Success Rate Allowed36.4%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.2
Playoff Odds14.4%
Strength of Schedule Rank52nd