Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Boston College enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRutgers at Boston College
Week 2 · Sep 11Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA) · Chestnut Hill, MA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Rutgers -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Rutgers -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market Consensus
Boston College -32-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Boston College -32-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward Boston CollegeExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Boston College enters after losing its previous lined game by 19 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Boston College is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 535 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Boston College lost the most recent meeting with Rutgers.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Rutgers enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Rutgers enters after losing its previous lined game by 16 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Rutgers was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 423 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Rutgers faces materially stronger USC in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Rutgers 21 · Boston College 28
- Pregame OV Line
- Rutgers -1.5
- Final recorded market
- Boston College -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Boston College by 7
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineRutgers -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Rutgers -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusBoston College -3.5Based on 2 books
Boston College -3.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Rutgers 54.2%Boston College 45.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Boston College -3
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