NC State at Virginia

Week 0 · Aug 29Scott Stadium · Charlottesville, VA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineVirginia -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusVirginia -42-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward NC StateExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?NC State 8 · Virginia 34
Pregame OV Line
Virginia -5.5
Final recorded market
Virginia -4
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Virginia by 26

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
NC State 35.4%Virginia 64.6%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

NC StateVSVirginia

Model View

Overall Rating+3.9 · #51+8.2 · #37
Offense Rating+4.1+2.3
Defense Rating-0.1+5.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.240.17
Offense Success Rate42.4%41.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.190.06
Defense Success Rate Allowed39.8%36.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.37.9
Playoff Odds2.0%13.6%
Strength of Schedule Rank67th65th