TCU at UCF

Week 4 · Sep 26FBC Mortgage Stadium · Orlando, FL

Matchup View

Opening LineTCU -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
TCU 54.6%UCF 45.4%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

TCUVSUCF

Model View

Overall Rating+7.7 · #39+3.7 · #54
Offense Rating+3.8+0.8
Defense Rating+3.9+2.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.200.15
Offense Success Rate44.5%39.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.140.11
Defense Success Rate Allowed40.3%42.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.15.9
Playoff Odds1.5%0.7%
Strength of Schedule Rank36th57th