Sam Houston at Texas Tech

Week 4 · Sep 26Jones AT&T Stadium · Lubbock, TX

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineTexas Tech -44Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusTexas Tech -34.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 11:45 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~9.5 pts toward Sam HoustonExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Sam Houston 14 · Texas Tech 49
Pregame OV Line
Texas Tech -44
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Texas Tech -34.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Texas Tech by 35

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Sam Houston <0.01%Texas Tech >99.9%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Sam HoustonVSTexas Tech

Model View

Overall Rating-22.3 · #133+17.3 · #11
Offense Rating-11.8+6.5
Defense Rating-10.5+10.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.000.25
Offense Success Rate36.3%43.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.24-0.07
Defense Success Rate Allowed47.9%31.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.111.2
Playoff Odds<0.01%51.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank115th55th