Southern at Houston

Week 2 · Sep 12TDECU Stadium · Houston, TX

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineHouston -54.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusHouston -51.51-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward SouthernExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Southern 6 · Houston 77
Pregame OV Line
Houston -54.5
Final recorded market
Houston -51.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Houston by 71

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Southern <0.01%Houston >99.9%

Compare Teams

SouthernVSHouston

Model View

Overall Rating+11.0 · #29
Offense Rating+4.8
Defense Rating+6.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.11
Offense Success Rate41.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.11
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.2%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total8.1
Playoff Odds10.5%
Strength of Schedule Rank53rd