Western Carolina at Cincinnati

Week 2 · Sep 12Nippert Stadium · Cincinnati, OH

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineCincinnati -28Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusCincinnati -36.51-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~8.5 pts toward CincinnatiExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Western Carolina 10 · Cincinnati 62
Pregame OV Line
Cincinnati -28
Final recorded market
Cincinnati -36.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Cincinnati by 52

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Western Carolina 3.1%Cincinnati 96.9%

Compare Teams

Western CarolinaVSCincinnati

Model View

Overall Rating+2.0 · #59
Offense Rating+2.9
Defense Rating-0.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.30
Offense Success Rate46.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed43.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.1
Playoff Odds0.3%
Strength of Schedule Rank40th