North Carolina vs TCU

Week 0 · Aug 29Neutral Site · Aviva Stadium · Dublin

Aer Lingus College Football Classic

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked
Opening LineTCU -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusTCU -9.52-book consensus · updated Aug 26
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward TCUExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?North Carolina 15 · TCU 10
Pregame OV Line
TCU -8.5
Final recorded market
TCU -9.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
North Carolina by 5

This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
North Carolina 27.6%TCU 72.4%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

Your winner pick refines your personal ratings. Game location is accounted for; your spread pick records where you differ from the market.

Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Aug 29.

Compare Teams

North CarolinaVSTCU

Model View

Overall Rating+1.6 · #61+7.7 · #39
Offense Rating-0.9+3.8
Defense Rating+2.5+3.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.060.20
Offense Success Rate38.8%44.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.14
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.4%40.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.67.1
Playoff Odds0.6%1.5%
Strength of Schedule Rank31st36th