North Carolina vs TCU

Week 0 · Aug 29Neutral Site · Aviva Stadium · Dublin

Aer Lingus College Football Classic

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineTCU -8.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusTCU -7.511-book consensus · observed Aug 29, 11:45 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward North CarolinaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?North Carolina 15 · TCU 10
Pregame OV Line
TCU -8.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
TCU -7.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
North Carolina by 5

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
North Carolina 27.6%TCU 72.4%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

North CarolinaVSTCU

Model View

Overall Rating+6.1 · #45+7.8 · #41
Offense Rating+1.3+3.9
Defense Rating+4.7+4.0

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.060.20
Offense Success Rate38.8%44.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.14
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.4%40.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.67.1
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank32nd40th