Home-underdog value Inconclusive
Vanderbilt is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTennessee at Vanderbilt
Week 13 · Nov 27FirstBank Stadium · Nashville, TN
NIGHT: 6 - 8pm ET start
Matchup View
Opening Line
Tennessee -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tennessee -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusTennessee -31-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Tennessee -31-book consensus · updated Sep 16Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4.5 pts toward VanderbiltExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Vanderbilt ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Vanderbilt is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Tennessee enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Tennessee enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Tennessee is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Tennessee begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Tennessee ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Vanderbilt.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Vanderbilt by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineTennessee -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tennessee -7.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTennessee -3Based on 1 book
Tennessee -3Based on 1 bookWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Tennessee 72.4%Vanderbilt 27.6%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Tennessee -3
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