South Carolina at Clemson

Week 13 · Nov 28Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC

Matchup View

Opening LineSouth Carolina -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Single-Book LineClemson -3Single-book line · CFBD fallback · observed Nov 2, 12:32 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~11 pts toward ClemsonExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Letdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence

Clemson was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.

Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Letdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence

South Carolina was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.

Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate

South Carolina has won at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Hot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

South Carolina has covered at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

South Carolina begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Clemson.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge after humiliation Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Clemson by at least 14 points.

Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Rivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate

South Carolina is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.

Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
South Carolina 72.8%Clemson 27.2%

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Compare Teams

South CarolinaVSClemson

Model View

Overall Rating+15.6 · #16+5.2 · #50
Offense Rating+6.3+1.7
Defense Rating+9.3+3.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.100.18
Offense Success Rate38.2%42.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.080.09
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.8%37.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.37.8
Playoff Odds4.5%0.4%
Strength of Schedule Rank16th46th