South Carolina at Clemson

Week 13 · Nov 28Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) · Clemson, SC

Matchup View

Opening LineSouth Carolina -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusClemson -31-book consensus · updated Sep 16
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward ClemsonExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence

South Carolina enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate

South Carolina enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

South Carolina begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Clemson.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge after humiliation Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Clemson by at least 14 points.

Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Rivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate

South Carolina is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.

Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
South Carolina 56.3%Clemson 43.7%

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Compare Teams

South CarolinaVSClemson

Model View

Overall Rating+12.7 · #25+8.1 · #38
Offense Rating+4.9+3.2
Defense Rating+7.8+4.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.100.18
Offense Success Rate38.2%42.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.080.09
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.8%37.3%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.37.8
Playoff Odds6.0%3.3%
Strength of Schedule Rank15th46th