Tulsa at Arkansas

Week 4 · Sep 26Razorback Stadium · Fayetteville, AR

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineArkansas -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArkansas -710-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 7:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward TulsaExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Tulsa 6 · Arkansas 34
Pregame OV Line
Arkansas -10.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Arkansas -7
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Arkansas by 28

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Tulsa 20.8%Arkansas 79.2%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

TulsaVSArkansas

Model View

Overall Rating-5.1 · #84+2.0 · #63
Offense Rating-3.2+2.6
Defense Rating-1.9-0.6

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.110.30
Offense Success Rate40.5%48.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.150.25
Defense Success Rate Allowed42.5%46.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total5.83.9
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank87th1st