Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia Tech enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTennessee at Georgia Tech
Week 2 · Sep 12Bobby Dodd Stadium · Atlanta, GA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Tennessee -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tennessee -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusTennessee -132-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Tennessee -132-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward TennesseeExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia Tech was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 423 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia Tech enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 585 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Georgia Tech is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Georgia Tech ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Georgia Tech lost the most recent meeting with Tennessee.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Tennessee is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 666 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Tennessee begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Tennessee ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Tennessee 45 · Georgia Tech 24
- Pregame OV Line
- Tennessee -8
- Final recorded market
- Tennessee -13
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Tennessee by 21
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineTennessee -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tennessee -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTennessee -11Based on 2 books
Tennessee -11Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Tennessee 73.5%Georgia Tech 26.5%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Tennessee -13
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