Close-win regression Developing estimate
Ole Miss enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 624 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCharlotte at Ole Miss
Week 2 · Sep 12Vaught-Hemingway Stadium · Oxford, MS
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Ole Miss -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Ole Miss -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusOle Miss -47.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Ole Miss -47.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward Ole MissExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Lay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Ole Miss is favored by 47.5 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Ole Miss is favored in a game with a consensus total of 60.5.
Studied in 288 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Ole Miss begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Ole Miss ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 891 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Ole Miss faces materially stronger LSU in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Ole Miss is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger LSU.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Charlotte is a 47.5-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Charlotte 9 · Ole Miss 41
- Pregame OV Line
- Ole Miss -42.5
- Final recorded market
- Ole Miss -47.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Ole Miss by 32
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineOle Miss -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Ole Miss -42.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOle Miss -47Based on 2 books
Ole Miss -47Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Charlotte <0.01%Ole Miss >99.9%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Ole Miss -47.5
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