Lindenwood at Eastern Michigan

Week 4 · Sep 26Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI
LindenwoodFCS
@
Eastern Michigan4–5-17.0 vs. avg · #123

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineEastern Michigan -17.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -247-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 12:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineEastern Michigan -17.5Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward LindenwoodOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineEastern Michigan -16Unexplained Gap~8 pts toward Eastern MichiganExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineEastern Michigan -17.5Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward LindenwoodOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Eastern Michigan -16Opening Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -26.5Unexplained at open~10.5 pts toward Eastern MichiganSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Eastern Michigan -16Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusEastern Michigan -24Unexplained gap~8 pts toward Eastern MichiganExplore similar gaps Lindenwood has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Lindenwood

Lindenwood has extra rest

~1.5 pts toward Lindenwood

Lindenwood has 6.7 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Lindenwood; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.

See the full study
Completed gameWhat happened?Lindenwood 3 · Eastern Michigan 29
Pregame OV Line
Eastern Michigan -17.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Eastern Michigan -24
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
Eastern Michigan -16
Actual margin
Eastern Michigan by 26

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Lindenwood 19.8%Eastern Michigan 80.2%

Compare Teams

LindenwoodVSEastern Michigan

Model View

Overall Rating—-17.0 · #123
Offense Rating—-5.8
Defense Rating—-11.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play—0.20
Offense Success Rate—42.7%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed—0.25
Defense Success Rate Allowed—44.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total—6.1
Playoff Odds—<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank—129th